No Weather Records Have Been Established For This Station Today as of now !
000 FXUS63 KMKX 060526 AFDMKX AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI 1126 PM CST SUN FEB 5 2012 .UPDATE... LOW STRATUS PUSHING EAST AND SHOULD REACH THE LAKE SHORE AROUND 1AM. SOME LIGHT FOG BUT DO NOT EXPECT ANY DENSE FOG TO DEVELOP. CLOUDS SHOULD ALSO PREVENT MUCH DROP IN TEMPERATURES. && .AVIATION/06Z TAFS/... IFR CIGS WITH SOME LIFR CIGS ESPECIALLY SOUTH OF LNR TO MSN TO MKE. EXPECT MAINLY MVFR VSBYS. MODELS/MOS DOING POOR JOB WITH THE CLOUDS OTHER THAN THE HRRR. WITH STRENGTHENING INVERSION ONCE CLOUDS ARE IN THEY MAY HAVE A HARD TIME MIXING OUT MONDAY AFTERNOON. && .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 246 PM CST SUN FEB 5 2012/ TONIGHT AND MONDAY...FORECAST CONFIDENCE MEDIUM. LOW STRATUS DECK THAT WAS OVER EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE AREA HAS MOVED OFF TO THE EAST SOUTHEAST...WITH WESTERLY LOW LEVEL FLOW AND DAYTIME HEATING. REMNANTS OF THAT DECK SHOULD MIX OUT BY SUNSET. OTHER LOW STRATUS DECK HAS BEEN SITTING ACROSS THE FAR WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE AREA. MOST MODELS HAVING TERRIBLE TIME WITH HANDLING THESE DECKS. HIGH RESOLUTION RAPID REFRESH MODEL SEEMS TO BE THE ONLY ONE WITH A DECENT HANDLE ON THESE DECKS...SO WILL FOLLOW IT FOR TONIGHT INTO MONDAY. THE WESTERLY LOW LEVEL FLOW WILL ALSO HELP PUSH THE WESTERN LOW STRATUS DECK SLOWLY EAST ACROSS THE AREA THIS EVENING. THIS DECK SHOULD THEN REMAIN THROUGH THE REST OF TONIGHT AND INTO MONDAY. WARM AIR ADVECTION LATER TONIGHT MAY STRENGTHEN LOW LEVEL INVERSION. HOWEVER...STRONGER WEST SOUTHWESTERLY LOW LEVEL WINDS MONDAY SHOULD BE ENOUGH TO OVERCOME INVERSION AND GRADUALLY MIX OUT THE LOW STRATUS DECK FROM WEST TO EAST. TEMPERATURES TONIGHT WILL BE AT LEAST SLIGHTLY ABOVE MOS GUIDANCE...GIVEN THE PRESENCE OF THE LOW STRATUS. HIGHS ON MONDAY SHOULD BE MILD ONCE THE CLOUDS MIX OUT. WENT MID TO UPPER 40S IN THE WEST...WHICH WILL HAVE THE MOST SUN. KEPT HIGHS DOWN IN THE MID 40S IN THE EAST...AS LOW STRATUS MAY HANG ON LONGER THERE. MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY...FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS MEDIUM. A DECENT COLD FRONT SWEEPS THROUGH DURING THE EVENING WITH A GOOD STRATUS DECK FOLLOWING IN IT/S WAKE. THE FRONT WILL COME THROUGH DRY...BUT SOMEWHAT DEEP RH WITH THE TRAILING STRATUS DECK COULD RESULT IN SOME FLURRIES LATE MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY. OVER IN THE SOUTHEAST...CLOSE TO LAKE MICHIGAN...A FAVORABLE LAKE EFFECT FETCH AND DELTA-TS GETTING TO 12-14C BY/AFTER 12Z TUE...COULD GENERATE SOME LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS. AS WITH PREVIOUS THOUGHTS...THE INVERSION IS ONLY UP TO ABOUT 5KFT AND THIS SHOULD KEEP THE LAKE EFFECT MINIMAL WITH ANY ACCUMS LESS THAN AN INCH. THE BEST CHC FOR ANY LAKE EFFECT WILL BE SOUTH OF PORT WASHINGTON...TO THE CHICAGO AREA. WEDNESDAY...FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS LOW TO MEDIUM. HIGH PRESSURE RETURNS AND SHOULD BRING SOME CLEARING. THERE IS PLENTY OF UNCERTAINTY WITH THAT. TEMPS SHOULD MODIFY A BIT FROM TUESDAY...BUT STILL COOL COMPARED TO THE LAST FEW DAYS. THURSDAY AND BEYOND...FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS HIGH. THE PERSISTENT DRY PATTERN CONTINUES THROUGH NEXT WEEKEND. MOST NOTABLE WEATHER EVENT WILL BE THE PASSAGE OF ANOTHER CANADIAN COLD FRONT LATE THURSDAY AFTERNOON OR EARLY THURSDAY EVENING. THIS WILL BRING A REINFORCING SHOT OF COLD AIR INTO THE GREAT LAKES REGION FOR LATE IN THE WEEK...WITH TEMPERATURES THAT ARE MORE NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. AVIATION/00Z TAFS/... MVFR CEILINGS EXPECTED TO MIX OUT BY SUNSET ACROSS EASTERN TAF SITES. A BRIEF PERIOD OF VFR CONDITIONS ARE THEN EXPECTED INTO EARLY THIS EVENING. IFR CLOUD DECK EXPECTED TO SPREAD WEST TO EAST ACROSS TAF SITES THIS EVENING...REACHING MADISON BY 01Z MONDAY...AND THE EASTERN SITES BY 04Z TO 05Z MONDAY. THESE CEILINGS WILL THEN LINGER THROUGH THE REST OF TONIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING. LIFR CEILINGS ARE POSSIBLE AT TIMES...BUT LOW CONFIDENCE SO DID NOT MENTION IN TAFS. MVFR FOG IS ALSO EXPECTED. THE IFR DECK SHOULD MIX OUT FROM WEST TO EAST DURING THE AFTERNOON...AS LOW LEVEL WESTERLY WINDS INCREASE. LIGHT WEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO SLOWLY SHIFT SOUTHWEST BY LATE TONIGHT AND MONDAY...AND INCREASE TO AROUND 10 KNOTS. MARINE... BRISK NORTHEAST WINDS AND HIGH WAVES ARE POSSIBLE MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY...BEHIND A PASSING COLD FRONT. A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT BEHIND THE FRONT...COMBINED WITH GOOD MIXING OF LOW LEVEL WINDS...SHOULD BRING WIND GUSTS UP TO 25 KNOTS AT TIMES. WAVES OF 3 TO 5 FEET ARE POSSIBLE TUESDAY...LINGERING INTO TUESDAY NIGHT BEFORE SUBSIDING. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MAY BE NEEDED FOR MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. && .MKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... WI...NONE. LM...NONE. && $$ UPDATE...WOOD TONIGHT/MONDAY AND AVIATION/MARINE...WOOD MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY...DAVIS
